MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bb049af08280cd21cb68e945fae78dd337266cd31a2aa257e567a7dd395f595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof San Diego Padres, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 31,825$16,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,907.88 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.96 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 17,828$9,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,557.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 15,534$7,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,456.38 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 14,406$7,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,962.57 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 39c | 11,008$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 8,533$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.06 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 7,975$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 7,885$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.8 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 7,777$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.93 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 7,687$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 6,124$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 5,993$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.59 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 5,801$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 4,058$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.96 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 3,998$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.85 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed San Diego Padres | 23c | 3,755$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.43 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 3,480$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 3,266$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.98 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,907$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.24 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,682$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.25 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 2,195$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 2,000$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked San Diego Padres | 20c | 1,837$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.37 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 1,801$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.33 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,419$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,379$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.92 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 1,367$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,236$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.37 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 1,201$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…343cbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 990.77$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.38 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 962.8$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 905.66$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.66 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked San Diego Padres | 23c | 891.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 886.3$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.34 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 872.46$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 850.11$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.18 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 828.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.1 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 821.88$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 806.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 805.81$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 687.5$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.19 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 679.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.59 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 622.08$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 607$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed San Diego Padres | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 537.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Diego Padres | 32c | 501.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.81 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked San Diego Padres | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 499.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 491.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 488.93$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.32 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 459.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 457.84$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 447$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.03 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 424.66$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.59 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 419.77$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 403.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed San Diego Padres | 10c | 403.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 401.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 399.96$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 384.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 363$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 353.17$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6862…8c75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 327$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked San Diego Padres | 29c | 317.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 306.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 304.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked San Diego Padres | 6c | 302.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 299.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 290$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 276.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 256.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 245.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…138fbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 218.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 217$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…da6bbacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 216.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.