WNBA · resolved market

PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa62fd323f2abb664df1b651b15e7f9b8ed3a992b0dd86402e6e8b07f8ed4b722

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,958 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under	53c	12,500$6,599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,900.97	81	59.3%48 W · 33 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	48c	7,863$3,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,803.4	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	48c	5,265$2,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,508.7	785	48.8%383 W · 402 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Under	51c	4,547$2,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,228.03	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Over	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,039.9	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Under	51c	3,922$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,921.56	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	49c	3,360$1,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,646.49	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	33c	2,431$796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795.91	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Under	50c	2,277$1,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,129.12	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	67c	2,063$1,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.92	506	46.8%237 W · 269 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	1,977$968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,009.41	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960.78	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	49c	1,884$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.35	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over	50c	1,259$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.58	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over	49c	1,071$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.79	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	47c	1,005$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.2	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	877.34$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.67	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	859.68$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.28	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over	49c	850.34$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.99	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over	50c	790$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.1	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over	48c	669$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.7	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over	47c	616.33$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.68	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under	50c	600$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+18%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71bc…7fe4backed Over	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	149	48.3%72 W · 77 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	50c	599.99$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.89	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over	51c	589.01$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x417d…f3c5backed Under	50c	567.57$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.09	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	50c	557.28$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.64	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over	47c	531.9$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	224	46%103 W · 121 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x474a…a275backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	48c	394.54$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.38	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	47c	306.24$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.93	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-8.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over	53c	300$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-6.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	69c	289.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.86	303	47.2%143 W · 160 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	48c	257.55$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.64	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	47c	232.21$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.14	143	45.5%65 W · 78 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Over	49c	220$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.8	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.8wins	+0.35per pick	52cpaid	+71%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over	53c	210$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.3	285	58.6%167 W · 118 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.45	60	50%30 W · 30 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd03…60fbbacked Over	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Over	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over	45c	199.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	25c	199.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Under	51c	160$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.4	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.38per pick	49cpaid	+84.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over	50c	157$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.5	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa597…cfa9backed Over	50c	142.82$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Over	48c	133.15$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.83	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a4c…6047backed Over	50c	132.74$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.37	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Under	49c	120$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.2	87	46%40 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under	53c	118.82$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.56	610	42.5%259 W · 351 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Under	50c	108.23$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.12	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…6e60backed Over	37c	108.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over	65c	107.57$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	70	62.9%44 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	49c	104.08$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-10.7wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	399	47.1%188 W · 211 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	50c	99.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.5	323	46.7%151 W · 172 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3b…8f52backed Over	54c	92.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-4.0wins	-0.17per pick	54cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over	50c	92$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.95	184	41.8%77 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over	49c	91.84$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under	68c	81.29$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.01	203	40.9%83 W · 120 L	-16.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d9f…10cabacked Over	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.37per pick	53cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over	50c	77$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	329	48.6%160 W · 169 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over	51c	62.75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	91	60.4%55 W · 36 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ae…61b5backed Over	65c	60$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	55cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbafe…33a6backed Over	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	49c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	260	54.6%142 W · 118 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed5…3320backed Over	50c	46.94$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Over	50c	42$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	88	50%44 W · 44 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	51c	40.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	426	49.3%210 W · 216 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under	69c	40.06$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-5.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	48c	39.47$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	171	43.9%75 W · 96 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd60…3927backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under	64c	37.58$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	32c	37.13$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	224	40.2%90 W · 134 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Over	48c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec8…c5d4backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	49c	24.68$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	144	50%72 W · 72 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73ff…0facbacked Over	71c	21.13$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	149	44.3%66 W · 83 L	-10.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.47	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	75c	18.43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.61	509	52.5%267 W · 242 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under	69c	17.19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.33	192	45.8%88 W · 104 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5this page
PortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsPortlandFire won
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Under won
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Under won
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Under won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)PortlandFire won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)PortlandFire won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)PortlandFire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event