WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e3f112ff84f32dbcb6b80d3950d746fe695d7db392eb8d89a1a55c279fa316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof Washington Mystics, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked PortlandFire | 46c | 5,873$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 3,038$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 2,046$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.62 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed PortlandFire | 46c | 1,959$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.09 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…f3c5backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 1,660$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,025$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked PortlandFire | 47c | 814.63$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.76 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 45c | 632.54$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.9 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.19 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 585.7$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed PortlandFire | 46c | 501.3$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 51c | 423.42$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.83 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 423.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.84 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed PortlandFire | 46c | 378.26$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.26 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 52c | 374.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 374.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Washington Mystics | 57c | 353.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed PortlandFire | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed PortlandFire | 45c | 296.38$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 281.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.63 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 256$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.68 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…fd13backed PortlandFire | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire | 55c | 217.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PortlandFire | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 54c | 197$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…772bbacked Washington Mystics | 55c | 177.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked PortlandFire | 44c | 164.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked PortlandFire | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Washington Mystics | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed PortlandFire | 46c | 108.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed PortlandFire | 49c | 107.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed PortlandFire | 45c | 103$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 93.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed PortlandFire | 46c | 86.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PortlandFire | 47c | 80.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed PortlandFire | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked PortlandFire | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…8d08backed PortlandFire | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 40.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed PortlandFire | 46c | 38.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 35.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed PortlandFire | 45c | 31.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…1949backed PortlandFire | 52c | 28.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 26.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed PortlandFire | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed PortlandFire | 55c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Washington Mystics | 54c | 21.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed PortlandFire | 48c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 19.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)this page
- PortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsPortlandFire won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.