WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b95e738b1255894405feb80847251a5b75471f47e181b4e8928f736b7bc2ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 48c | 14,719$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,065.13 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 52c | 3,848$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.04 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 47c | 2,732$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.29 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 2,040$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.2 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 1,419$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.94 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed Over | 49c | 1,197$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 50c | 1,135$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.48 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 53c | 1,042$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.1 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 962.6$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.35 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 53c | 946.84$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.84 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 817.58$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.93 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 52c | 791.7$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.39 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 681.71$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 53c | 669.19$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.61 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 635.84$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.84 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 600$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.37 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 578$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.66 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 558$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.84 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 49c | 531$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 522.79$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 53c | 326$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 50c | 325$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 275.04$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9984…91e3backed Under | 50c | 232.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 216$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 126.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 97.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 35c | 83.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 53c | 80.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Under | 53c | 68.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 47c | 63.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 48c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 51c | 59.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Under | 49c | 59.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 47.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Under | 77c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Under | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 47c | 34.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 57c | 32.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 32.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Over | 64c | 31.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…1d15backed Under | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5this page
- PortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsPortlandFire won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.