WNBA · resolved market

PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ed355328107855c80354137613455965f0860c3a73ee44f3b0a21f9b90a2f2e

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: PortlandFireof PortlandFire, Washington Mystics
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $200,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $211,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,005 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x684b…8409backed PortlandFire	30c	15,760$4,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,031.85	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Washington Mystics	2c	12,810$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.18	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Mystics	7c	11,945$785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.33	348	26.4%92 W · 256 L	-21.2wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics	13c	11,099$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,487.04	1,787	51.7%924 W · 863 L	+54.1wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire	50c	7,026$3,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,521.12	515	52.6%271 W · 244 L	+18.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics	40c	6,549$2,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,607.67	796	48.7%388 W · 408 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics	19c	5,716$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080.01	761	42.7%325 W · 436 L	-19.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Mystics	0c	5,401$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.94	96	0%0 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Mystics	7c	4,703$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Washington Mystics	7c	3,568$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.62	104	40.4%42 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9013…4750backed Washington Mystics	4c	3,501$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.28	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Washington Mystics	10c	3,473$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed PortlandFire	64c	3,379$2,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,222.36	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.16per pick	59cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Washington Mystics	2c	3,229$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.36	454	15.6%71 W · 383 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Washington Mystics	70c	2,941$2,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.9wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics	18c	2,391$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.37	1,632	50.2%819 W · 813 L	+37.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db8…0ed7backed Washington Mystics	36c	2,300$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.9	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Mystics	27c	2,149$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.72	106	34.9%37 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Washington Mystics	70c	2,090$1,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,463	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed PortlandFire	33c	1,991$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333.89	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+3.0wins	+0.18per pick	35cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics	68c	1,911$1,293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.23	859	48.4%416 W · 443 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Mystics	69c	1,804$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.71	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire	53c	1,713$901 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.64	511	47.2%241 W · 270 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Washington Mystics	16c	1,602$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.57	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Washington Mystics	7c	1,569$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.82	314	43%135 W · 179 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Washington Mystics	70c	1,557$1,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,089.9	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Washington Mystics	31c	1,500$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-10.5wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics	67c	1,437$959 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.22	196	58.2%114 W · 82 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics	56c	1,400$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.99	103	48.5%50 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0d9…f1c5backed Washington Mystics	5c	1,312$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.62	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Washington Mystics	12c	1,300$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Washington Mystics	68c	1,250$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…9486backed PortlandFire	47c	1,234$579 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Washington Mystics	24c	1,132$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.69	166	33.1%55 W · 111 L	-10.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Washington Mystics	55c	1,097$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	231	49.4%114 W · 117 L	-14.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4149…ba5dbacked Washington Mystics	37c	1,094$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.65	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Washington Mystics	13c	1,065$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.43	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Washington Mystics	15c	1,023$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.06	88	37.5%33 W · 55 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Mystics	22c	946.54$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.28	192	31.8%61 W · 131 L	-13.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Washington Mystics	69c	937.98$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.59	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed PortlandFire	32c	887.7$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.45	87	33.3%29 W · 58 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Washington Mystics	70c	825.71$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	67cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked PortlandFire	56c	718.5$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.5	58	44.8%26 W · 32 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Washington Mystics	5c	711.05$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6759…1117backed PortlandFire	70c	642.86$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.86	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+186.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Washington Mystics	33c	610.11$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Mystics	68c	600$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408	328	50.3%165 W · 163 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Washington Mystics	7c	524.64$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.28	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d6c2backed PortlandFire	31c	500$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Washington Mystics	70c	470$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Washington Mystics	22c	465.34$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics	9c	452.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.35	352	54.3%191 W · 161 L	+21.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Washington Mystics	70c	442.86$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Mystics	7c	435.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.47	161	41%66 W · 95 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf202…9ea8backed Washington Mystics	70c	414.29$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed PortlandFire	55c	413.7$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.86	303	47.2%143 W · 160 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Washington Mystics	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	75	20%15 W · 60 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…7ee6backed PortlandFire	79c	379.87$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.87	71	62%44 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Washington Mystics	4c	372.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.13	153	37.9%58 W · 95 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Washington Mystics	28c	363.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.43	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Washington Mystics	8c	350$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	153	51%78 W · 75 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked PortlandFire	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Washington Mystics	31c	320$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked PortlandFire	32c	312.5$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.5	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics	12c	305$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.14	312	49.4%154 W · 158 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed PortlandFire	36c	305$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.44	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+22%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Washington Mystics	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-6.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Washington Mystics	10c	299.99$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	95	13.7%13 W · 82 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed PortlandFire	76c	299.08$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.84	254	47.2%120 W · 134 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda31…f8acbacked PortlandFire	52c	287.06$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.06	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+91.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Washington Mystics	9c	270$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	564	55.1%311 W · 253 L	+27.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked PortlandFire	29c	262.76$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.31	307	34.2%105 W · 202 L	-28.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked PortlandFire	64c	247.31$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.59	73	68.5%50 W · 23 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Washington Mystics	71c	240.17$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	74	50%37 W · 37 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac1…d5a6backed Washington Mystics	70c	221.99$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.39	88	58%51 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Washington Mystics	70c	214.28$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-8.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Washington Mystics	70c	213.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.76	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Mystics	7c	204$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	253	45.8%116 W · 137 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Washington Mystics	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Mystics	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	211	50.2%106 W · 105 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd03…60fbbacked Washington Mystics	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d59…f7e5backed Washington Mystics	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…adefbacked PortlandFire	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked PortlandFire	30c	199.99$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.99	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked PortlandFire	51c	199.27$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.06	369	50.9%188 W · 181 L	+16.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Washington Mystics	22c	195.94$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c6b…218bbacked PortlandFire	33c	191.86$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.55	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.67per pick	33cpaid	+203%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed PortlandFire	54c	184.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.69	104	53.8%56 W · 48 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed PortlandFire	47c	180.53$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a65…e883backed PortlandFire	74c	177.36$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.11	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f46…7a71backed Washington Mystics	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdefb…5b50backed Washington Mystics	18c	168.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.87	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed PortlandFire	65c	163.52$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.4	181	57.5%104 W · 77 L	+13.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Washington Mystics	27c	159$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.13	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x069a…1dc4backed Washington Mystics	70c	158.5$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.70per pick	70cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed PortlandFire	29c	157.34$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.71	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed PortlandFire	50c	152.09$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.24	73	60.3%44 W · 29 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dba…5e2bbacked PortlandFire	30c	148.9$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.79	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2561…ce3ebacked PortlandFire	67c	148.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.71	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Mystics	70c	145$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	327	49.5%162 W · 165 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

PortlandFire vs. Washington Mysticsthis page
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5Under won
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Under won
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 165.5Under won
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Under won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)PortlandFire won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)PortlandFire won
Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)PortlandFire won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event