TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

HSBC Championships, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Beatriz Haddad Maia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heather Watsonof Heather Watson, Beatriz Haddad Maia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Heather Watson54c22,594$12,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,471.728,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia40c15,147$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010444.2%46 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia57c13,838$7,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,858.5693740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Beatriz Haddad Maia57c9,272$5,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,322.6511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Heather Watson41c5,477$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,218.0585348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Heather Watson59c4,171$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,707.354,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Heather Watson42c3,550$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.821,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia14c2,839$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.771,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Heather Watson58c2,722$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.515,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Heather Watson51c2,448$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.883,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Heather Watson41c2,167$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.5165952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Beatriz Haddad Maia3c1,422$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.581,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc242…5cf5backed Beatriz Haddad Maia61c1,202$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Beatriz Haddad Maia60c1,194$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.9512369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Heather Watson44c1,132$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.7150458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Beatriz Haddad Maia52c954.59$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.381,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Heather Watson46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.171,02341.3%422 W · 601 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Heather Watson49c621.97$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.633,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Heather Watson52c619.8$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2961,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74c0…62fabacked Heather Watson36c519.44$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.447142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Heather Watson39c499.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.732,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Heather Watson40c492.82$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5247854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Heather Watson40c402$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.252152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Beatriz Haddad Maia14c394.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2942125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Heather Watson45c375.63$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3624245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Heather Watson42c329.37$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1489850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Heather Watson50c326.4$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.086,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Heather Watson45c308.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.711,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e3…8c11backed Heather Watson41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1779436.2%34 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8c…20e4backed Beatriz Haddad Maia59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17710264.7%66 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia55c285.15$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1618932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Beatriz Haddad Maia50c275.84$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.738,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…d6ebbacked Heather Watson75c266$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.511059.1%65 W · 45 L+0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Heather Watson39c245.54$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.541,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x9edf…c034backed Heather Watson42c238.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.262763%17 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Beatriz Haddad Maia64c234.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Heather Watson39c229.23$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4626131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Heather Watson44c212.51$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.011,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Beatriz Haddad Maia61c207.68$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.841,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Heather Watson42c197.37$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7591755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia59c185.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.974547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb6…e9afbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia61c182.12$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.932152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd1ab…6db6backed Beatriz Haddad Maia60c164.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Beatriz Haddad Maia59c162.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.531,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Beatriz Haddad Maia62c162.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Heather Watson53c157.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5985742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Beatriz Haddad Maia62c148.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.812445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Beatriz Haddad Maia71c139.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Beatriz Haddad Maia58c138.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4319349.7%96 W · 97 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Beatriz Haddad Maia32c138.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.263,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Beatriz Haddad Maia36c137.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Beatriz Haddad Maia36c137.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Heather Watson45c129.55$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.782,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Heather Watson42c119.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6458539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Beatriz Haddad Maia64c115.52$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7150958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Heather Watson36c110.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.462,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Heather Watson36c109.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.181,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Heather Watson46c109.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0221533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Beatriz Haddad Maia61c108.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.952,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Beatriz Haddad Maia60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606556.9%37 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed Heather Watson41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+59.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Heather Watson38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6211946.2%55 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a92…716abacked Beatriz Haddad Maia25c92.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.44037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8345…5928backed Beatriz Haddad Maia62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505747.4%27 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Heather Watson39c80.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.585637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a1…02e0backed Heather Watson43c69.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.921353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+55.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d1…cac5backed Beatriz Haddad Maia59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011653.4%62 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa597…cfa9backed Beatriz Haddad Maia59c67.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.541346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Beatriz Haddad Maia54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c9…a5b4backed Beatriz Haddad Maia62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb772…ed49backed Beatriz Haddad Maia40c62.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Beatriz Haddad Maia61c61.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.881,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Beatriz Haddad Maia60c58.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1816654.8%91 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Beatriz Haddad Maia61c56.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Heather Watson80c56.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.531,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked Heather Watson49c56.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.83930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4166…4f83backed Beatriz Haddad Maia40c55.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.312938.8%50 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cca…efe9backed Heather Watson42c54.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.731553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Heather Watson36c54.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6960141.1%247 W · 354 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Beatriz Haddad Maia57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Heather Watson39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2839443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Beatriz Haddad Maia57c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.381,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Beatriz Haddad Maia62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3147857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Beatriz Haddad Maia62c49.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9513441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a4…cdb9backed Heather Watson54c48.05$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.057981%64 W · 15 L+15.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+29.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Heather Watson27c46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5855941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010755.1%59 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…ba3bbacked Heather Watson42c45.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia57c43.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7957953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8073…c119backed Heather Watson42c43.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.112653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ba81backed Beatriz Haddad Maia36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1547431.9%151 W · 323 L-21.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b2d…5b23backed Beatriz Haddad Maia72c41.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Heather Watson45c41$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5524740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd952…0553backed Beatriz Haddad Maia61c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Beatriz Haddad Maia61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Heather Watson41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.595536.4%20 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Beatriz Haddad Maia55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025550.6%129 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Heather Watson37c35.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9874346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3a…c81cbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia57c34.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-74.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa888…e98cbacked Beatriz Haddad Maia44c34.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1216459.1%97 W · 67 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.