MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28e8c9410158255fa92ce51588ec00db9a229ed1ee27f73281a309c54de2682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Chicago Cubs, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 63,737$29,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,319.07 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 60,000$32,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,599.91 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 44,982$24,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,696.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 35,561$23,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,540.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 28,822$14,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,233.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 16,806$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 14,248$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,210.45 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 11,548$5,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.31 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 10,039$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…65e5backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 9,066$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.71 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 6,945$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.63 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 5,534$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.06 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 5,454$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.48 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 4,674$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.52 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 4,633$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 4,475$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.02 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.99 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,391$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.29 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 3,188$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.72 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,890$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.3 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,769$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.97 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 2,674$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 2,658$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.48 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 2,233$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 2,209$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.82 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,058$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 2,058$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.17 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,040$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.58 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 2,040$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.8 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 1,949$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,789$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.49 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,737$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,716$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 1,588$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.13 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 1,550$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.63 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,542$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 1,537$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.62 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,446$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.98 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,374$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.09 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,371$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.91 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 1,347$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.42 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Chicago Cubs | 80c | 1,287$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.29 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,097$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.1 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,084$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.64 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,029$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.98 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 999.91$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.19 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 967$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 951.28$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.1 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 946.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 914.65$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.74 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 797.78$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.98 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 780.01$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 28c | 730.05$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 680.85$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 669.89$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 637.45$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.45 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 600$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 598.4$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 597.67$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.7 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 581.13$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.57 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 556.85$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.01 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 528$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 505.85$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.48 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 500$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…20afbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 494$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 486.86$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 468$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 421.28$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 407.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 406.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 387.42$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.09 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 365.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 364.85$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 343$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…8373backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 336.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 331.93$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.71 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Chicago Cubs | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 317.21$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…2367backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 310$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…e0e7backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 307$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 305.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 303.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 300.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 293.93$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 280.5$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.