TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b7f…8373

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.07
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.61
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+141%+$77.42
England leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.63
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$9.5
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$50.42
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$138.48
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$125.3
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.49
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21.93
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.95
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.88
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.23
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$44.85
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$30.84
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$28.1
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.42
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.38
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.16
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.89
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$161.18
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$105.14
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.05
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$259.53
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$162.86
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$117.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.18
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$113.1
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.78
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$122.91
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.39
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$84.38
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.38
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.75
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$71.83
Generali Open: Laslo Djere vs Quentin Halysbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.43
Swiss Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.87
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$56.25
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.23
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$45.06
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$7.48
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$61.89
Trieste: Sumit Nagal vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.24
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.53
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: Malmo FF O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.