TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, New York Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$340,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees15c34,892$5,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,276.8210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees25c23,110$5,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,691.8211,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees32c15,643$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees59c13,181$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins79c11,745$9,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,427.012,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees23c11,585$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,693.7185645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins71c9,943$7,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,883.431,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins74c9,459$6,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.074,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees30c9,095$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.874,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees29c6,846$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.538,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees22c6,641$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.8295045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins41c6,520$2,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,871.975,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked New York Yankees7c4,347$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.767642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Yankees35c4,249$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4751,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed New York Yankees29c3,907$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.3921767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed New York Yankees25c3,882$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.1640043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees27c3,514$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.714,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees21c3,395$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins41c3,358$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.391,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed New York Yankees32c3,176$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.1212954.3%70 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed New York Yankees22c3,071$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6625538.2%21 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Yankees10c2,981$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2310913.8%15 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees40c2,706$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.4360043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Yankees25c2,570$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.93,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked New York Yankees25c2,214$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.2137451.3%192 W · 182 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Minnesota Twins42c1,944$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.2844851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Twins60c1,852$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.9891252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked New York Yankees29c1,686$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.3714257%81 W · 61 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked New York Yankees60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00039047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x573a…dcbfbacked New York Yankees1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins42c1,429$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.5766050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed New York Yankees24c1,278$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.741520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed New York Yankees28c1,118$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.36,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed New York Yankees27c1,066$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5715749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees22c1,054$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.055,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked New York Yankees58c999.96$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9829046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees59c999.8$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.042,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked New York Yankees23c944.21$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.375228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Minnesota Twins41c882.51$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.6829656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked New York Yankees60c840$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50415848.1%76 W · 82 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees30c821.91$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.429,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8443…2988backed Minnesota Twins71c811.72$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.46142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Minnesota Twins56c746.46$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.211,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd759…6d1abacked New York Yankees59c677.97$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004949%24 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed New York Yankees24c646.94$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.357046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Yankees49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees17c506.9$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3497944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d4…f59bbacked New York Yankees51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Yankees58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked New York Yankees25c499.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9936729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins53c499.8$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.291,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Minnesota Twins65c496.97$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.2292046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees59c489.74$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.682,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees24c446$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.671,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked New York Yankees18c438.86$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.361,81349.1%891 W · 922 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed New York Yankees22c430$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.834045%153 W · 187 L+1.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed New York Yankees59c424.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9937944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed New York Yankees12c412.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.641,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked New York Yankees24c402.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.18729.9%26 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed New York Yankees18c347.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6852955.6%294 W · 235 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Minnesota Twins41c341.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.461,16749%572 W · 595 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Minnesota Twins74c330.49$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.937962%49 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked New York Yankees16c325.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5236759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked New York Yankees47c321.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed New York Yankees30c307.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3321033.3%70 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b7f…8373backed New York Yankees33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked New York Yankees24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7226618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Minnesota Twins40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18040449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bb…6538backed Minnesota Twins73c299.93$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees40c290.95$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.528,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees27c285$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7379147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52de…8f92backed Minnesota Twins74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2714469.4%100 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Minnesota Twins42c270$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.650647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed New York Yankees59c266.1$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15721853.2%116 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Minnesota Twins46c256.15$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1779255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed New York Yankees23c251.48$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8344058.9%259 W · 181 L+29.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Minnesota Twins43c244.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1967449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbc6…1a49backed New York Yankees23c239.85$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1916842.3%71 W · 97 L-10.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.181257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed New York Yankees27c236.19$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.861,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Minnesota Twins43c233.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5597050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed New York Yankees27c230.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0946949.9%234 W · 235 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins78c216.38$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.541,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Minnesota Twins70c214.97$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0936932.8%121 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c2…a675backed New York Yankees61c213.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Minnesota Twins72c211.25$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1556253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48a4…8c2ebacked Minnesota Twins42c203.6$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.098043.8%35 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked New York Yankees31c199.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6212426.6%33 W · 91 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed New York Yankees59c199.96$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9826049.6%129 W · 131 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8130…5a50backed New York Yankees30c186.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.653171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+34.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins39c183.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.23,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked New York Yankees10c180.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0721852.8%115 W · 103 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed New York Yankees30c178$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.834639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Minnesota Twins53c177.29$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.341,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe426…f4ffbacked Minnesota Twins42c176.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5411956.3%67 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees24c171.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.642,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Minnesota Twins59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.71,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.