Middle East · resolved market
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c5ecd69199f6ff69425ba9e18d8aa90bb20fb847e949bee98da149ce5888b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 4c | 19,741$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.96 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…882cbacked Yes | 6c | 19,400$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 20c | 5,571$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.56 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 1c | 4,731$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 30c | 4,054$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.06 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 39c | 3,888$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.07 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…730cbacked Yes | 46c | 3,771$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…11c5backed Yes | 9c | 3,501$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.56 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 68c | 2,805$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.84 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 2,551$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.88 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 1c | 2,454$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3554…d825backed Yes | 13c | 2,319$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +844.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 2,314$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.03 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,890$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 16cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 8c | 1,668$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 136 | 17.6%24 W · 112 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 21c | 1,564$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed No | 72c | 1,490$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.16 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -15.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,065$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,014$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 64c | 980.17$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.1 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 42c | 944.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…22e5backed Yes | 4c | 931.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…9e4abacked Yes | 29c | 884.82$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 61c | 869.04$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.29 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 29c | 819.51$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 61c | 804.91$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.96 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…b3ddbacked Yes | 39c | 801.79$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 765.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…e1e8backed Yes | 4c | 754.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…2b82backed No | 62c | 655.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.58 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…b35dbacked Yes | 2c | 634.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…646cbacked Yes | 38c | 613.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Yes | 14c | 604$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +148%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 55c | 600$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…c236backed Yes | 29c | 578.38$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 64c | 554.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.19 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 57c | 536.32$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.7 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed No | 68c | 440$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -9.9wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…ac4dbacked No | 69c | 436.97$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…2385backed Yes | 10c | 427.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…53f7backed Yes | 32c | 420$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 50c | 400.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.34 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…0e8dbacked Yes | 13c | 391.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 69c | 390$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 3c | 376.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 53c | 360$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 70c | 351.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 171 | 11.7%20 W · 151 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 74c | 346$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 46c | 327.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…0e1cbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 50c | 303.28$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.65 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | +22.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 15c | 287.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf895…02a4backed Yes | 5c | 278.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 265.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 66c | 232.71$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 68c | 224.17$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ac…bc18backed Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc5…cc25backed Yes | 30c | 200.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…fb93backed Yes | 44c | 195.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 18c | 181.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 80c | 178.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…5ab4backed No | 62c | 169.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 38c | 158.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…4403backed Yes | 37c | 135.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…8373backed No | 69c | 132.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411a…5a86backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 10c | 111.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…6c68backed Yes | 26c | 107.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…543abacked No | 67c | 104.6$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9684backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…e7f8backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe32…1a05backed Yes | 36c | 91.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 64c | 90.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…1323backed Yes | 26c | 89.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 52c | 87.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 69c | 85.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 57c | 81.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d3…00a7backed Yes | 40c | 77.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 28c | 76.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 74c | 75.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…c04fbacked Yes | 42c | 70.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…1a2cbacked No | 37c | 68.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72c…a0e7backed Yes | 19c | 66.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…c7bdbacked No | 60c | 65.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed No | 71c | 62.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…3431backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 54c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…faaebacked Yes | 32c | 56.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 57c | 55.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 215 | 37.7%81 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…b7d6backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 49.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?this page
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes won
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes won
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes won
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes won
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?No won
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?No won
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?No won
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No won
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No won
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes won
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.