Middle East · resolved market

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24c32ecdc78696f1b3e06acb5cc486e3c37d6b0913cffe641c96368aa41f3ef

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $188,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $183,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,149 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9592…a7b8backed Yes	3c	26,350$831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.75	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	9c	11,483$1,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,087.26	170	18.2%31 W · 139 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	26c	6,477$1,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,668.81	353	55.5%196 W · 157 L	+36.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed Yes	1c	6,000$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	432	12.5%54 W · 378 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	30c	4,981$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.5	168	31%52 W · 116 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6418…730cbacked Yes	42c	4,804$1,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,998.48	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+5.7wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+75.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed Yes	11c	3,657$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f9e…3a0ebacked No	79c	3,042$2,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624.87	56	50%28 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	66c	2,746$1,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$946.91	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaef1…e1e8backed Yes	2c	2,682$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Yes	9c	2,414$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.41	136	17.6%24 W · 112 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e7…9561backed Yes	49c	2,183$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…11c5backed Yes	3c	2,109$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.1	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes	31c	2,024$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.55	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes	25c	1,991$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.03	473	34%161 W · 312 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbc…aadfbacked No	75c	1,944$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	1,905$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.9	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e1…d250backed Yes	25c	1,647$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0652…9134backed No	76c	1,640$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.4	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-9.9wins	-0.22per pick	36cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked No	71c	1,579$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.36	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x432a…ae20backed Yes	10c	1,423$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.87	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes	1c	1,360$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	266	19.2%51 W · 215 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	3c	1,292$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.75	476	9.9%47 W · 429 L	+15.1wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+75.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes	9c	1,289$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.34	226	27.9%63 W · 163 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	7c	1,199$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.6	423	11.6%49 W · 374 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2470…22e5backed Yes	3c	1,193$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	3c	1,128$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	423	29.1%123 W · 300 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes	35c	1,111$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.82	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	264	29.2%77 W · 187 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e3…700dbacked No	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+43.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2940…304cbacked Yes	26c	995$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	161	31.7%51 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeee…20fbbacked No	69c	933.35$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.88	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe56b…ea26backed No	69c	926.22$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.52	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac8f…feddbacked Yes	3c	830$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	210	34.3%72 W · 138 L	+9.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	25c	814.19$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.55	589	27.2%160 W · 429 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279c…2b82backed No	62c	759.57$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.53	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No	71c	716.45$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.45	61	65.6%40 W · 21 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fc…a926backed Yes	5c	600$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-5.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	13c	600$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	490	23.5%115 W · 375 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f3…85debacked Yes	5c	599.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	57c	555$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.35	178	39.9%71 W · 107 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	61c	551$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.89	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a53…7a6fbacked No	71c	547.44$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.46	159	43.4%69 W · 90 L	+10.9wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc3e…0e8dbacked Yes	9c	530.7$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked Yes	27c	500$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	215	31.2%67 W · 148 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa429…368abacked No	80c	500$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-11.4wins	-0.20per pick	67cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed No	69c	477.05$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.86	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-8.3wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a55…6ce4backed No	64c	475.6$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.22	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+7.2wins	+0.28per pick	46cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x51de…9e4abacked Yes	21c	467.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	27c	450.25$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.52	248	39.5%98 W · 150 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac76…9359backed No	62c	420.49$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.78	267	56.2%150 W · 117 L	+12.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed No	70c	416.56$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.9	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb069…0e1cbacked Yes	24c	416$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Yes	15c	396.66$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.57	40	15%6 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+148%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33a…d8f7backed Yes	55c	380$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.75	131	38.9%51 W · 80 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	54c	374.1$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.36	110	37.3%41 W · 69 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	61c	352.48$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.52	181	35.9%65 W · 116 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…33c0backed Yes	32c	345.47$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	88	29.5%26 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	32c	330.56$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.2	896	17.1%153 W · 743 L	-57.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74e6…99e8backed No	67c	315.61$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.95	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb980…73b0backed No	59c	312.62$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.56	59	52.5%31 W · 28 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9724…fbc7backed Yes	7c	302.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41dd…6e71backed Yes	43c	300$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed No	57c	300$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes	69c	287.98$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	241	49.4%119 W · 122 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a22…17a6backed Yes	64c	282.8$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	84	57.1%48 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No	61c	280$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	194	28.9%56 W · 138 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa2…2c73backed No	65c	267.05$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.47	377	40.1%151 W · 226 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes	33c	257.64$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.49	173	59.5%103 W · 70 L	+12.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2252…d4f5backed Yes	37c	244.23$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+241.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	80c	227.07$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.41	678	41.6%282 W · 396 L	-20.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5675…f6a6backed No	66c	209.09$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.09	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41f…7145backed Yes	25c	201.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	31c	200$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82c9…36fcbacked Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa915…fed8backed Yes	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x608c…d3dcbacked Yes	14c	199.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	70c	185.34$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.94	217	26.7%58 W · 159 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x411a…5a86backed Yes	13c	180$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb17d…59aebacked No	77c	180$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.2	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed Yes	28c	177.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.8wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x689f…b3ddbacked Yes	40c	169.31$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.52	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…c04fbacked Yes	40c	163.57$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked No	69c	159.81$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.24	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36e…0b6ebacked Yes	31c	159.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No	76c	157.47$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.79	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…8f90backed Yes	31c	157$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed No	72c	150$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+134.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…6c68backed Yes	25c	149.02$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.13	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…dadebacked No	74c	147.3$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x386c…8323backed Yes	35c	144.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+8.7wins	+0.20per pick	36cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No	71c	143.32$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.25	366	26.8%98 W · 268 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f5…72bcbacked Yes	38c	127.91$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	29c	127.54$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-57.0wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes	45c	124.64$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	118	42.4%50 W · 68 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed No	80c	124.57$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.22	142	49.3%70 W · 72 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c1…2c72backed Yes	30c	123.36$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.01	291	29.9%87 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5270…715dbacked Yes	12c	122.97$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b22…74ecbacked Yes	30c	122.46$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.74	114	32.5%37 W · 77 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes	45c	113.16$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.13	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	37cpaid	+65.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?this page
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes won
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes won
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?Yes won
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?No won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?No won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?No won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes won
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event