MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f28bf750a67a2da5bc52328e7e77f9d36a528eea6b0cfc52cd7bd697488f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Tampa Bay Rays, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,490,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,422,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,490,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 5c | 1,168,462$60,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,445.01 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 317,521$98,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218,542.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 204,078$103,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,212.43 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 201,000$98,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,490 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 177,777$87,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,110.73 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 71,629$36,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,098.19 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 48,924$24,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,972.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 48,000$23,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,519.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 45,778$26,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,414.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,050 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…d96fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 25c | 25,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 23,199$12,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,965.89 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 22,119$8,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,718 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 19,939$12,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,478.56 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 17,875$9,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,683.23 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 15,500$7,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,595 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 15,305$7,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.25 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 14,191$6,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,829.65 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 8c | 11,997$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 11,172$6,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,586 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 10,600$7,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811.56 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 10,466$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.19 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 10,303$7,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.31 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 9,448$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,651.41 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 7,113$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.38 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 6,022$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 5,400$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 5,365$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.23 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 5,000$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.44 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 4,890$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 4,650$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.5 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 4,418$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.18 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 4,333$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.29 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 4,301$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 3,863$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,789$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 3,616$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.94 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 3,080$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.34 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 3,051$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.85 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 2,701$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.13 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…dc9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 2,432$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,168$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.36 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,729$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,708$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.37 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 1,669$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 1,528$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.18 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,508$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.76 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 1,500$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.83 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 1,498$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.43 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,487$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.59 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 1,345$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.31 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 1,251$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.63 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,245$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.05 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,233$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.28 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,230$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.85 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,170$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.34 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 1,136$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.56 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,122$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 1,100$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,099$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,093$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.63 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 72c | 1,066$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 1,018$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 980.39$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 3c | 913.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…fc49backed Tampa Bay Rays | 16c | 878$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 865.54$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.32 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 854.26$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.68 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 851.63$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.85 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 844$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 832$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.12 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 799.9$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 765.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b0f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 743.99$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 737.1$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 714$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 713.62$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.52 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 642$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.23 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 629.91$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.65 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 616.93$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 608.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 607.58$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.48 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 34c | 584.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed Boston Red Sox | 80c | 539$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.9wins | +0.35per pick | 59cpaid | +80%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Boston Red Sox | 33c | 537.88$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.38 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 529$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 510.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 488.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.