MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1ac4815a4642a1ad97b1cf384207b06d66cae075824ec978fe7fbee9924740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Seattle Mariners, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $762,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 94,301$49,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,306.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 65,207$35,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,109.68 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 42,300$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 41,667$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 37,730$19,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,733.1 | 238 | 54.6%130 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 36,967$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,167.34 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 34,404$16,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,513.92 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 32,026$14,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,861.49 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 30,399$15,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,591.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 22,027$10,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,278.99 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 20,000$9,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,308.69 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 35c | 16,810$5,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.25 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 16,202$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 15,262$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.34 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 12,800$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 12,140$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.46 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 11,907$8,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,271.33 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 10,837$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.25 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 10,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 9,300$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,359.82 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 8,125$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.25 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 7,104$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.86 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 6,930$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.66 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 6,611$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.03 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 6,326$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.34 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 5,578$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,308$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.69 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 5,231$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.61 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,076$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.48 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 32c | 5,040$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 4,259$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.82 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 4,245$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,804$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.88 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 3,543$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.48 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 3,412$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.52 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,355$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.83 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 3,141$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.6 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 2,923$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.08 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 2,730$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.95 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 2,649$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.13 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 2,500$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.12 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,358$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.49 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,326$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,175$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,078$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 2,048$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.32 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,985$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,969$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.4 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,824$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.52 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 1,770$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,766$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 1,727$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.72 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,698$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.04 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,696$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.36 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 1,652$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.31 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,555$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.85 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 1,546$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.86 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 1,404$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.62 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,319$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,000$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 16c | 970.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 911.64$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.67 | 455 | 45.7%208 W · 247 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 774.22$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 725.1$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.19 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 699.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 692.31$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 638.75$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.99 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 633.02$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 631.57$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 628.3$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.3 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 587$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 558.51$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 544.3$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 538.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 524$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.28 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 523.36$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.5 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 508.58$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 475.5$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.48 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 472.13$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 461.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.67 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 452.91$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.93 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 442.48$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.