Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50456e2e7c3255745217051c90241a036a508b2972ffcf6a6eb83779f1934661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 52c | 22,417$11,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,838.92 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 8c | 17,045$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 39c | 15,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 60c | 10,390$6,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,107.21 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 53c | 9,080$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 54c | 8,969$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,125.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 57c | 8,179$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,665.56 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 6,550$4,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.49 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 55c | 5,596$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.05 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked No | 51c | 5,491$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked Yes | 80c | 5,309$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 1c | 4,873$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…5382backed No | 49c | 4,622$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 14c | 4,037$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.22 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…ce86backed Yes | 76c | 4,033$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 43c | 4,011$1,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.69 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…3b1fbacked No | 2c | 3,898$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 50c | 3,507$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.5 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked No | 50c | 3,422$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 21c | 3,296$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.22 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 32c | 2,871$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.08 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 5c | 2,845$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 72c | 2,765$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.56 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed Yes | 47c | 2,743$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.62 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 48c | 2,665$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed No | 42c | 2,656$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 25c | 2,591$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 62c | 2,515$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed No | 26c | 2,425$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 8c | 2,222$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…5062backed Yes | 75c | 2,173$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…f6b7backed Yes | 56c | 2,123$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.59 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 37c | 2,106$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.44 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 25c | 2,043$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.45 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 24c | 2,032$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.21 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 54c | 2,006$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 23c | 2,006$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.44 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 11c | 1,896$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.56 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…86efbacked Yes | 51c | 1,813$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,786$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.96 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1ecbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…a44bbacked No | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 33c | 1,481$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.2 | 335 | 21.8%73 W · 262 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 56c | 1,466$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Yes | 69c | 1,458$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked No | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed No | 33c | 1,430$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 1,325$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 34c | 1,311$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.93 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2abf…545abacked Yes | 69c | 1,296$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.64 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed Yes | 67c | 1,193$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 42c | 1,156$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.22 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 41c | 1,131$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.09 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked No | 51c | 1,090$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 1,071$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.97 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 67c | 1,070$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…fcc7backed No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,010$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 20c | 1,000$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.6 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 52c | 981.03$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…ed31backed No | 14c | 981$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…db24backed Yes | 53c | 969.79$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…9db9backed No | 49c | 965$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…00ecbacked Yes | 74c | 961.4$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb6…93f6backed Yes | 64c | 957.93$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 79c | 955.51$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 49c | 944.23$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…0919backed No | 52c | 925$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 11c | 914.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 24c | 816.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…e028backed Yes | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…9249backed Yes | 78c | 727$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a012backed Yes | 75c | 717$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…e2d8backed Yes | 76c | 700$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 21c | 700$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 60c | 678.43$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed No | 43c | 658.13$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…dc2bbacked Yes | 58c | 657.46$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 637$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 497 | 11.5%57 W · 440 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a98…c07ebacked No | 50c | 610.56$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 65c | 606.42$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 39c | 600$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -10.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked Yes | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 51c | 593.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 7c | 582.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 11c | 570$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 51c | 567.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 52c | 565.4$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.74 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c99…6efbbacked Yes | 50c | 545$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 19c | 524.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?this page
- Will Chellie Pingree be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Saundra Pelletier be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
- Will Valli Geiger be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.