Tennis · resolved market
Trieste: Sumit Nagal vs Matej Dodig
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a744f19c32cd77a659637aa2624df0d2c635abd782d75544373e5c81619379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matej Dodigof Sumit Nagal, Matej Dodig
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sumit Nagal | 11c | 8,185$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.23 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Matej Dodig | 45c | 6,679$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.67 | 636 | 51.7%329 W · 307 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sumit Nagal | 55c | 4,531$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.97 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sumit Nagal | 55c | 1,323$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.44 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matej Dodig | 77c | 1,315$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Matej Dodig | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.96 | 953 | 68.2%650 W · 303 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sumit Nagal | 37c | 1,000$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.95 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Sumit Nagal | 55c | 908.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Matej Dodig | 46c | 767.14$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.56 | 3,359 | 48.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L | -49.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Matej Dodig | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.67 | 886 | 37%328 W · 558 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Matej Dodig | 69c | 667.21$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matej Dodig | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sumit Nagal | 48c | 652.23$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.73 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matej Dodig | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Sumit Nagal | 53c | 588.25$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.77 | 686 | 39.2%269 W · 417 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sumit Nagal | 15c | 584.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.35 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Sumit Nagal | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Sumit Nagal | 38c | 478.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Sumit Nagal | 54c | 431.48$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 468 | 55.8%261 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…b911backed Sumit Nagal | 56c | 431.09$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Matej Dodig | 74c | 420.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.92 | 2,347 | 52.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L | +86.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Matej Dodig | 70c | 394.01$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Sumit Nagal | 22c | 338.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sumit Nagal | 21c | 307.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Sumit Nagal | 56c | 277.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.38 | 868 | 50.2%436 W · 432 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Matej Dodig | 80c | 262.59$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sumit Nagal | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Sumit Nagal | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sumit Nagal | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Sumit Nagal | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Sumit Nagal | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sumit Nagal | 23c | 172.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Matej Dodig | 73c | 149.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 1,837 | 46.5%855 W · 982 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Sumit Nagal | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 649 | 47.6%309 W · 340 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Sumit Nagal | 24c | 139.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Sumit Nagal | 43c | 132.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Matej Dodig | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Matej Dodig | 79c | 121.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…68b6backed Matej Dodig | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 112 | 14.3%16 W · 96 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Sumit Nagal | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 250 | 51.6%129 W · 121 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Sumit Nagal | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…797abacked Sumit Nagal | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sumit Nagal | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Sumit Nagal | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Matej Dodig | 45c | 86.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Sumit Nagal | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Matej Dodig | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matej Dodig | 70c | 69.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Sumit Nagal | 29c | 64.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sumit Nagal | 19c | 63.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 3,885 | 55%2,137 W · 1,748 L | +111.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Sumit Nagal | 42c | 62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Sumit Nagal | 55c | 60.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 482 | 57.1%275 W · 207 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matej Dodig | 71c | 54.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Sumit Nagal | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,133 | 56.8%643 W · 490 L | +54.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Matej Dodig | 68c | 52.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 2,101 | 54.2%1,139 W · 962 L | +65.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sumit Nagal | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…8373backed Matej Dodig | 50c | 44.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Sumit Nagal | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Sumit Nagal | 42c | 40.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Sumit Nagal | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Sumit Nagal | 42c | 38.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Sumit Nagal | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Sumit Nagal | 56c | 35.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 968 | 58.3%564 W · 404 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7faf…e2b5backed Matej Dodig | 79c | 34.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Sumit Nagal | 54c | 31.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Matej Dodig | 76c | 30.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Matej Dodig | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Matej Dodig | 45c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Matej Dodig | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Matej Dodig | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.