TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e1f…797a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liege: Federico Coria vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Liege: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Luca Staehelibacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Liege: Francesco Forti vs Jack Logebacked Francesco Forti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
ITF Roda De Bara: Albert Pedrico Kravtsov vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Albert Pedrico Kravtsov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.64
ITF Astana: Anastasiya Krymkova vs Ingkar Dyussebaybacked Ingkar Dyussebay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.08
ITF Hillcrest: Romain Faucon vs Zsombor Velczbacked Zsombor Velcz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$28.05
Trieste: Raul Brancaccio vs Franco Agamenonebacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.51
Trieste: Sumit Nagal vs Matej Dodigbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Contrexeville: Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Julia Grabher · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Contrexeville: Anna Blinkova vs Erika Andreevabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$29.3
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertensbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Bastad: Noma Noha Akugue vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Quito: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanovabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$71.95
Set 2 Winner: Sabalenka vs Osakabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Pavlasek/Riklbacked Helioevaara/Patten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovicbacked Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Milan: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$16.83
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Brasov: Maks Kasnikowski vs Zsombor Pirosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.43
ITF Getxo: Amelie Van Impe vs Neus Torner Sensanobacked Amelie Van Impe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+124.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.51
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$69.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnerbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Dota 2: Hive vs RE.Arise - Game 2 Winnerbacked RE.Arise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Canada vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.