Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1efe37e6435a9ef0c90f4d0c4d4331bb4e0211118d5b982b27523739eec77e85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Safiullin, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 68c | 1,332$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.23 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Djokovic | 73c | 483.4$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Safiullin | 33c | 450.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Djokovic | 70c | 448.32$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…df1dbacked Safiullin | 34c | 295.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Safiullin | 30c | 283.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Safiullin | 27c | 217$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Safiullin | 28c | 211.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Djokovic | 69c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Safiullin | 30c | 170.47$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Djokovic | 69c | 160.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Safiullin | 31c | 159.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Safiullin | 30c | 136.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Safiullin | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Safiullin | 40c | 115.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Safiullin | 30c | 106$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Safiullin | 37c | 93.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Safiullin | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Djokovic | 60c | 74.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Safiullin | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…573abacked Djokovic | 70c | 55.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Safiullin | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Safiullin | 31c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Safiullin | 32c | 48.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Safiullin | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Djokovic | 66c | 45.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Djokovic | 67c | 45.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…797abacked Safiullin | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Safiullin | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd401…3fa5backed Djokovic | 74c | 29.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…9cd1backed Djokovic | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Djokovic | 73c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe043…b415backed Djokovic | 75c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovicthis page
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicSafiullin won
- Set 4 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)Safiullin won
- Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.