Tennis · resolved market
Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13f1c6ff877f18953b4c40b6a21e0e3daf852f7b47b4a6343449e0e680eedb6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 44c | 11,570$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.95 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ca8cbacked Over | 56c | 10,751$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Over | 53c | 3,739$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.76 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Over | 54c | 1,321$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.92 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 49c | 1,235$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.85 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under | 46c | 1,210$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.38 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Under | 7c | 776.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 48c | 713.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.71 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Over | 52c | 638.79$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 622$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 50c | 372.46$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 57c | 331.68$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 217$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 55c | 173.93$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 159.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Under | 47c | 147.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 19c | 109.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 106.38$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 48c | 93.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Under | 41c | 92.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 81.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa59…d4cebacked Over | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 48c | 78.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…d83abacked Under | 48c | 77.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…f3a9backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 74c | 64.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…4007backed Over | 52c | 61.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 50c | 55.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 52c | 38.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 50c | 33.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…2efbbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…77cfbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 47c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 50c | 21.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…aab8backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicSafiullin won
- Set 4 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)Safiullin won
- Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.