Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe68a766462d0a0584fb106d0c762717db5013441ad1e6bea976001ff97d7b5ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Safiullinof Safiullin, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 67c | 2,277$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.03 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…1e73backed Djokovic | 66c | 1,508$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…0acbbacked Safiullin | 58c | 1,133$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Safiullin | 54c | 892.11$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.27 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Safiullin | 32c | 698.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.59 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Safiullin | 29c | 666$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.86 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Safiullin | 72c | 432.29$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Djokovic | 80c | 375.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Safiullin | 28c | 342.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Safiullin | 29c | 327.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.47 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Safiullin | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Djokovic | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Djokovic | 69c | 260$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Djokovic | 11c | 241.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Safiullin | 53c | 211.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Safiullin | 32c | 203.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…d359backed Djokovic | 74c | 192.84$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Safiullin | 38c | 168.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…87e6backed Djokovic | 69c | 143.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Djokovic | 62c | 139.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Safiullin | 26c | 131.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Djokovic | 16c | 107.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Djokovic | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Safiullin | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…a216backed Safiullin | 31c | 99.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Safiullin | 43c | 70.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…b252backed Djokovic | 77c | 63.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Safiullin | 39c | 50.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Djokovic | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Safiullin | 64c | 45.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd401…3fa5backed Djokovic | 71c | 42.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Djokovic | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…9cd1backed Djokovic | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovicthis page
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 4 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)Safiullin won
- Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.