Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x318247d43da887ac6bfd7ad4eff1b20e8bce2b06b1d8e83dde840c3890ed266f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Safiullin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Djokovic | 72c | 6,973$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.55 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Safiullin | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Safiullin | 29c | 2,697$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.4 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…dcc2backed Djokovic | 62c | 2,555$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.82 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 61c | 1,570$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.2 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Safiullin | 42c | 1,297$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.03 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Safiullin | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Djokovic | 70c | 910.89$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Djokovic | 71c | 786.37$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.06 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Safiullin | 31c | 634.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Safiullin | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Safiullin | 42c | 362.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Safiullin | 30c | 326$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Safiullin | 35c | 288.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Safiullin | 38c | 260.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Safiullin | 28c | 220.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Djokovic | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Djokovic | 69c | 169.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Djokovic | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Safiullin | 30c | 141.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Safiullin | 29c | 134.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Safiullin | 38c | 126.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…09c1backed Safiullin | 35c | 100.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Safiullin | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Djokovic | 70c | 92.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Safiullin | 38c | 83.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Safiullin | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Safiullin | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…fe38backed Djokovic | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Djokovic | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Safiullin | 38c | 55.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…13e5backed Djokovic | 69c | 55.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Djokovic | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Djokovic | 70c | 49.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Safiullin | 31c | 48.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…01c0backed Djokovic | 75c | 40.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Safiullin | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Safiullin | 31c | 38.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…eae0backed Djokovic | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…5c85backed Djokovic | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Djokovic | 69c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Djokovic | 69c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…1ccabacked Djokovic | 69c | 15.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)this page
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicSafiullin won
- Set 4 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)Safiullin won
- Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.