Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4aaee0f333eeb0bd40457da3bbdb4502ebcbc7295d6b764b4dcd03bbeaeb6bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Safiullin, Djokovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Safiullin | 54c | 8,652$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.73 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic | 48c | 7,387$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.8 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Djokovic | 72c | 1,624$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.09 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Safiullin | 71c | 1,303$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.89 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Safiullin | 28c | 924.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Safiullin | 33c | 744.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.47 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Djokovic | 23c | 382.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Djokovic | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Djokovic | 70c | 341.43$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 262 | 63%165 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…cdf7backed Djokovic | 50c | 328.12$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Safiullin | 29c | 307.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Safiullin | 16c | 252.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Djokovic | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Djokovic | 72c | 204.17$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Djokovic | 57c | 187.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Djokovic | 16c | 186$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Djokovic | 33c | 172$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.04 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Safiullin | 34c | 170.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Djokovic | 63c | 135$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Safiullin | 40c | 133.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Safiullin | 31c | 112.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Safiullin | 41c | 105.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Djokovic | 20c | 103.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Safiullin | 46c | 103.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…1a56backed Djokovic | 50c | 83.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Safiullin | 50c | 71.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…0fe0backed Safiullin | 50c | 63.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Safiullin | 26c | 60.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Djokovic | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Djokovic | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Djokovic | 54c | 48.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…c2fcbacked Djokovic | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…1418backed Djokovic | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Djokovic | 51c | 41.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847a…9cd1backed Djokovic | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Djokovic | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djokovic | 67c | 34.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Djokovic | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd401…3fa5backed Djokovic | 66c | 25.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Djokovic | 69c | 25.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Djokovic | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Djokovic | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Safiullin | 72c | 18.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovicthis page
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roman Safiullin vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Safiullin vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set 3 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicSafiullin won
- Set 4 Winner: Safiullin vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Safiullin (+1.5)Djokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Safiullin (+2.5)Safiullin won
- Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.