TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7319…1a56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT4755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+276.5%+$80.19
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+60%+$9
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.38
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$29.39
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.08
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$18.93
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.92
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.39
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.48
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.38
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.35
Norway vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.96
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.92
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$45.32
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.45
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.58
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.67
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$48.83
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.47
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$13.62
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Safiullin vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+102%+$42.16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$16.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$33.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.