MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbdf2191c0660d1c9b97ce261b42cdd2ec51555574cf4863d7128083093a6b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $585,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 251,813$124,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,388.59 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 251,030$126,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,115.22 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 40,201$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.1 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 19,292$9,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,452.92 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 17,875$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.27 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 17,440$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.8 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 17,296$8,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,483.8 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 16,046$8,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,022.96 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 14,990$7,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,495 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 14,587$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.5 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 10,126$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.5 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 9,784$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.27 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 4,555$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 4,412$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.76 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 4,366$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 3,480$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 3,193$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 2,932$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 2,932$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,367$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.5 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,059$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.82 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb086…fee9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 1,893$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 1,608$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.79 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,571$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.79 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 1,409$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,345$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,322$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,237$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.16 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,229$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.21 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 1,086$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,057$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,000$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.22 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 931.54$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.17 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 930.24$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.54 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 783.86$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 714.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.82 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 629$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 610.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 549.87$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.17 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…179cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 4c | 545$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…aa53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 532.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…746ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 510.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 500.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.13 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 24c | 490$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 488.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe729…6cd0backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 484.25$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 479.32$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 453.69$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8466…c2c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 452.31$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533f…e0f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 449.95$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 447$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 425$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 414.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…297cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 379.32$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 378.74$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 372.79$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 365.55$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 350$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…8580backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 341.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 318.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.37 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed San Diego Padres | 80c | 314.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 305$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 297.8$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.03 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 295.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 279.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…5de7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 271.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 269.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 260$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80d…a89abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 259.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…9f1fbacked San Diego Padres | 70c | 241.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 240.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 233.32$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…1c5abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 216.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 213.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 211.76$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 202$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…6236backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 201.69$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 64c | 200.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 199.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.