MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0b1b31b36b86a7d817776fe604283b855c2cb837e5a86fe8b6960592820223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $139,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Over | 46c | 105,449$48,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,375.99 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 54c | 90,990$49,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,855.4 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 12,512$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,784.6 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 3,283$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.23 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Under | 55c | 2,435$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.12 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 54c | 2,387$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.83 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Over | 46c | 2,200$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Over | 48c | 1,815$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 1,549$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 1,506$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.07 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 47c | 1,210$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.11 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 56c | 1,112$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.25 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 55c | 1,090$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.95 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 849.69$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.35 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 846.07$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 793.72$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.85 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Under | 56c | 778.64$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.48 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 52c | 707.28$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 56c | 695.43$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 566.91$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.78 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Over | 44c | 566.61$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.31 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 53c | 553.93$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.52 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 50c | 528.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 48c | 510$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.18 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 470.63$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 48c | 396.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e9f4backed Under | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 51c | 350.16$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 296.14$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 34c | 219.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…c2b6backed Over | 45c | 212.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 56c | 208.71$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 55c | 190.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 181.46$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 36c | 179.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…6364backed Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked Under | 56c | 170.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 42c | 170.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 53c | 167.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.26 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 162.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…4a19backed Under | 57c | 162.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 66 | 84.8%56 W · 10 L | +15.1wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 19c | 146.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 141.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Under | 55c | 123.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 55c | 122.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 57c | 109.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Over | 10c | 105.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Under | 58c | 105.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Over | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 283 | 52.3%148 W · 135 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 56c | 86.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 85.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 52c | 85.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 46c | 74.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 50c | 70.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 55c | 67.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 66.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…3516backed Under | 54c | 54.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +6.6wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 51c | 53.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 55c | 49.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Under | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…3222backed Over | 46c | 42.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Over | 37c | 41.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 46c | 41.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Under | 51c | 39.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 39.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 56c | 33.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 56c | 32.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 55c | 31.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Under | 53c | 27.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 26.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 41c | 25.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 53c | 23.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 54c | 23.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…3266backed Under | 56c | 23.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…1a56backed Over | 46c | 23.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…5187backed Under | 55c | 22.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.