TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Seattle Marinersof Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$566,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$555,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Seattle Mariners56c345,704$193,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152,109.986943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Rangers44c326,552$143,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143,682.921,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Seattle Mariners58c17,205$9,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,243.2314943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Texas Rangers4c14,553$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.5114152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners57c13,792$7,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,930.5838148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Texas Rangers43c13,089$5,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,631.611,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Texas Rangers12c11,762$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.172,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers44c10,779$4,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,702.751,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Texas Rangers44c8,970$3,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,946.7384049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners56c8,422$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,72765050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas Rangers43c8,041$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,476.831,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Texas Rangers45c8,015$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.177350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Texas Rangers42c7,432$3,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,121.357441.9%31 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers38c7,203$2,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7231,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers44c7,127$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.023,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Texas Rangers12c6,823$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.218241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Seattle Mariners55c6,618$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.9141149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Seattle Mariners56c4,809$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.792030%6 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xda16…8e5abacked Texas Rangers15c4,775$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.3980%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners56c4,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9805,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Texas Rangers23c4,197$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.7728049.6%139 W · 141 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners77c3,821$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.878,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners57c3,508$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.441,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers44c2,774$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.156,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Texas Rangers3c2,763$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.216814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Texas Rangers44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10075049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners58c2,354$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.716,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Texas Rangers44c2,196$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.437953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers44c2,095$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.761,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Texas Rangers44c2,023$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.5867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Seattle Mariners57c2,021$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Texas Rangers4c2,001$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.029021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86033852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Seattle Mariners56c2,000$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87012640.5%51 W · 75 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.991,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Texas Rangers44c1,820$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.81,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Seattle Mariners57c1,815$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.982,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas Rangers5c1,629$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.631,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed Texas Rangers5c1,601$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7333228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners57c1,452$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.071,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Texas Rangers15c1,436$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.6116135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a9d…0553backed Texas Rangers13c1,250$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.792142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…d867backed Texas Rangers21c1,164$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.32860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Seattle Mariners56c1,100$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.331,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Texas Rangers44c1,098$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.232742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Seattle Mariners56c1,091$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.877750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Texas Rangers43c1,080$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.591,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Texas Rangers45c1,019$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.58450%42 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers49c1,018$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7670735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Texas Rangers43c1,017$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.921,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Texas Rangers10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.611942.9%51 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed Texas Rangers5c925.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1520443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Texas Rangers9c802.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.312337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Texas Rangers44c763.55$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9620647.1%97 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas Rangers41c747.55$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.051,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners56c695.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.9932350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Texas Rangers43c673.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.4646749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Texas Rangers29c661.01$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4723244%102 W · 130 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Texas Rangers13c603.86$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4270744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Seattle Mariners55c555$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.756662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Texas Rangers10c543.88$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0626315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers45c541.52$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6822548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Texas Rangers45c537.22$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.751,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Seattle Mariners56c521.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.494042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Texas Rangers43c515.36$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.161,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Texas Rangers42c513.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8851547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Texas Rangers44c500$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.663644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2288…4849backed Texas Rangers5c482.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.252030%6 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+35.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Texas Rangers44c460$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.21,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…ab23backed Texas Rangers13c444.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.732142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Texas Rangers45c430.32$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6472648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Texas Rangers45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Texas Rangers47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011540%46 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Seattle Mariners59c419.42$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.966947.8%33 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83e4…757dbacked Texas Rangers5c399.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Texas Rangers11c392.26$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1555541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Texas Rangers4c365.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.242429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Texas Rangers43c364.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.741,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners55c353.13$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.536,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8200…8444backed Texas Rangers14c350.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.144820.8%10 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd23e…746bbacked Texas Rangers13c348.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.371540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Seattle Mariners56c325.18$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0818553%98 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Texas Rangers45c322.33$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0517151.5%88 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers44c307.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.192,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Texas Rangers11c301.1$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Seattle Mariners56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13269351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Seattle Mariners57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12924346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners70c298.33$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Seattle Mariners56c292.08$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5259150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Texas Rangers6c290.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1241847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Seattle Mariners76c277.55$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2148850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Texas Rangers44c271.56$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4911448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Texas Rangers43c246.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.926751.7%138 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Texas Rangers43c237.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1640645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980b…f1d9backed Texas Rangers8c225.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9290%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Texas Rangers13c218.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.434450%22 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Texas Rangers45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.741549.2%204 W · 211 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1f…773abacked Texas Rangers14c204.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Texas Rangers38c201.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2641249.5%204 W · 208 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.