MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68fc236e869b55a1d15ee9ed2c80fd2ed2dc3eb8921f7d23b70cb4ef33df65af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Under | 54c | 23,002$12,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,421.18 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Over | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 46c | 11,851$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.54 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 45c | 5,566$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.46 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Under | 56c | 4,998$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.88 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 4,785$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.75 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 56c | 4,479$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Under | 60c | 4,200$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 3,971$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.12 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 54c | 3,710$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 55c | 3,587$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.85 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 44c | 2,384$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.88 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 2,377$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.87 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 2,056$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 2,042$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.58 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 1,813$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.35 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 38c | 1,786$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.29 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 29c | 1,045$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.58 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.75 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 800.2$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.11 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Under | 30c | 639.78$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 555.44$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 508.34$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 77c | 374.57$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 361$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.41 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 349.41$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 64c | 310.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 34c | 245$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 245$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Over | 22c | 240.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.18 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 38c | 155.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Over | 46c | 128.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 59c | 109.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…e4e7backed Under | 55c | 107.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 107.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 50c | 105.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 36c | 105.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Over | 34c | 96.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…9dd8backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Under | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 48c | 73.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 55c | 71.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 43c | 64.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 63c | 63.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 60.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 38c | 59.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 45c | 50.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 48c | 50.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 75c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 55c | 45.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…5884backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 46c | 41.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Under | 79c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Under | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Over | 51c | 34.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 75c | 33.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 45c | 30.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 46c | 24.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Over | 44c | 23.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…1a56backed Under | 73c | 21.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…b93bbacked Under | 79c | 19.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…29b7backed Under | 55c | 18.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.