MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x750b0eb293d39c400dcf34bf4db9edcaad519dfb4657e475b5136a0b902efdcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 79,686$35,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,681.89 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 16,797$9,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,534.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 16,411$9,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 14,537$8,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,520.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 4,550$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 3,520$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 2,600$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 2,578$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.49 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 2,307$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,667$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.31 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 1,444$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.05 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 900$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 763.21$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.23 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 541.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.38 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 534.85$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 339$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 310$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 298.52$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.36 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 182.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 148.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 117.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 106.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 103.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 90.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 89.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 83.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 78.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 59.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 52.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 36.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 32.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 27.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 26.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…f3eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 21.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.