TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x023e…5884

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 50 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$42.23
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.5
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.64
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael Zhengbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$6.14
Cincinnati Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.64
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$28.12
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.52
National Bank Open: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royerbacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Canadian Open: Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Belluccibacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.44
Canadian Open: Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.41
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
All 17 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: BESTIA vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.72
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$16.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.