MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b5b54a1d4431991cd67f0e86735c1a17082cc1e5e7e04212a6bf0929a31ec0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 133,039$65,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,843.78 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 50c | 103,099$51,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,549.68 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…aa4fbacked Under | 3c | 9,117$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Over | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 7,701$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa285…f906backed Over | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 4,198$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.05 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 54c | 4,010$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.63 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 3,437$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.39 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 47c | 3,358$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.06 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 2,531$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 2,172$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 2,014$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 1,932$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 51c | 1,728$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.83 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Under | 52c | 1,012$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.89 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over | 17c | 999.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.02 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 982$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Over | 50c | 907.2$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 888$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 800.91$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.15 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 498$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.43 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 48c | 466$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.68 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 434.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 59c | 374.64$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 361.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 46c | 289.72$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 279.4$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 50c | 268.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 78c | 220.66$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 55c | 214.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 50c | 214.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Over | 16c | 201.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…dc4dbacked Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 50c | 185.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Over | 51c | 178.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Under | 24c | 173$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 46c | 167.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 157$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 150.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 52c | 139.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Over | 51c | 122.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 110.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef56…b743backed Under | 46c | 104.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Over | 55c | 102.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 50c | 94.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…5884backed Over | 55c | 93.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…b200backed Over | 43c | 83.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 48c | 83.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 43c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 55c | 63.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Over | 35c | 60.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 69c | 59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Over | 50c | 55.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Over | 50c | 49.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 43.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 45c | 37.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 54c | 36.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 42c | 36.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Over | 51c | 34.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 70c | 27.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b490backed Over | 55c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 46c | 23.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…b90bbacked Over | 50c | 23.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…9259backed Over | 55c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Under | 61c | 18.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.