MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x139f21b6db2e5a35d524021fbc55fc258451daeee0ec98fd5248d83e140a4474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof St. Louis Cardinals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 44,444$14,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,666.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 44,163$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,040.38 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 27,347$6,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,220.97 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 23,235$16,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.29 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 22,789$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,282.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 22,028$6,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,049.66 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 16,000$10,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 11,940$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,940.3 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 9,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 5,657$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,232.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 5,455$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.18 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…e637backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 4,648$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.13 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…f224backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 3,626$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.63 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 3,408$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.79 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…8cf8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 3,125$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 2,703$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 2,703$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…5f21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 2,703$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…0ce8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 2,703$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,452$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.47 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 2,416$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 2,133$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.03 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,915$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,714$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.42 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 1,706$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.57 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,639$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.58 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,617$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.82 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…1fbebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,315$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.78 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 1,285$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.15 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 1,177$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 1,152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.33 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,145$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 1,131$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,106$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 1,101$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.74 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 911.84$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.51 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 828.31$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.63 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 820.1$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +10.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 773.18$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.64 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 713.05$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.67 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 703.16$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.64 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 19c | 570$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.7 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 537$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.86 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…a4aebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d44…7f07backed St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 422.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 377$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.04 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 373.78$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.77 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 355.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…6e63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 310.4$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 310$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 296.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…bdc4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 285.61$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 285.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 283.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 264.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 6c | 230$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…6ffbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 214.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 213.52$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.46 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 203.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 201$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…1582backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 195.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 194.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…e944backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 193.04$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…d6e9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 191.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 185.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 180$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 171.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.23 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 162$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 160.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 151$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.34 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…31a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 169 | 62.7%106 W · 63 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.