MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f92abba1a5a07dc3622397f3c7deb7704859ce68bbf7f23a511d6ea36191cd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,999.94 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 35,999$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,799.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 45c | 22,443$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,343.64 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 18,786$8,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,554.5 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 17,351$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,542.89 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…aa4fbacked Under | 2c | 12,539$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 57c | 12,264$6,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,979.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 10,916$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,112.82 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 6,174$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.73 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 4,715$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.34 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Over | 44c | 4,000$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 2,241$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.86 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 1,457$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.06 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 1,373$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 45c | 1,228$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.48 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Under | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…a4a2backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,006$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 72c | 985.11$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.35 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 971.93$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.84 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 8c | 795.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.49 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 43c | 653.26$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 45c | 545.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.18 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 469.98$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.78 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 45c | 469.79$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.38 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 49c | 454.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 454.47$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.23 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 405.16$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Under | 49c | 370$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.3 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 43c | 348.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 55c | 310.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 45c | 294$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 41c | 235.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.06 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 46c | 226.1$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 7c | 193$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 191.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…5f93backed Under | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 8c | 134.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 43c | 121.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 45c | 116$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Under | 44c | 95.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Under | 43c | 94.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Under | 43c | 94.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Under | 41c | 90.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 44c | 87.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Under | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 60c | 50.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Over | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 44c | 39.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 45c | 37.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…4a0abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…dbf6backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…f0f8backed Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Under | 41c | 32.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…8d26backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Over | 45c | 32.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 43c | 31.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b490backed Over | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 46c | 27.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e70…2e2dbacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…5884backed Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 61c | 23.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 45c | 23.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Over | 57c | 17.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.