TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sebastian Baezof Sebastian Baez, Mattia Bellucci
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,336
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,336 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2805…76edbacked Mattia Bellucci32c71,416$22,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,895.9410438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sebastian Baez71c50,842$36,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,798.678,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Sebastian Baez70c24,613$17,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,473.794,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Baez76c20,061$15,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,905.3711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6b…4faabacked Mattia Bellucci0c18,990$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mattia Bellucci46c13,997$6,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,438.4752744.6%235 W · 292 L+30.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Baez54c10,972$5,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,009.286,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Sebastian Baez52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9717245.9%79 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Mattia Bellucci49c9,672$4,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,702.5210553.3%56 W · 49 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Sebastian Baez54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.261735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Baez54c8,711$4,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,006.664,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mattia Bellucci18c7,823$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.191,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Mattia Bellucci4c6,835$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2786710.4%7 W · 60 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Mattia Bellucci50c6,358$3,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,172.341,25756.6%711 W · 546 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Sebastian Baez52c5,000$2,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,38036149.6%179 W · 182 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Mattia Bellucci10c4,860$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029735.7%106 W · 191 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Sebastian Baez53c4,716$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.8592655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7544…e3aebacked Sebastian Baez56c4,154$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.2118246.7%85 W · 97 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Sebastian Baez53c4,118$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.624,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461d…db9ebacked Mattia Bellucci45c3,900$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.775651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Sebastian Baez53c3,606$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.564753.9%349 W · 298 L+32.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mattia Bellucci48c3,547$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.551,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Mattia Bellucci16c3,402$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3971329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Mattia Bellucci48c3,377$1,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.9630335.3%107 W · 196 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mattia Bellucci46c3,166$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.5778336%282 W · 501 L+36.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Sebastian Baez73c3,082$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.1919041.6%79 W · 111 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Sebastian Baez80c2,805$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.633,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Mattia Bellucci34c2,642$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90053942.1%227 W · 312 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed Mattia Bellucci22c2,589$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.481338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Mattia Bellucci47c2,446$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.4710649.1%52 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Sebastian Baez64c2,388$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.572,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Mattia Bellucci47c2,308$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.781,63848.2%789 W · 849 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Mattia Bellucci2c2,237$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459528.1%77 W · 875 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Mattia Bellucci48c1,998$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.0438550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mattia Bellucci48c1,904$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.751,69248.8%826 W · 866 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Sebastian Baez53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.7939149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Sebastian Baez60c1,860$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.271,00154.9%550 W · 451 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sebastian Baez51c1,780$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.22,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Sebastian Baez78c1,715$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.132,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Mattia Bellucci47c1,651$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.093,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Mattia Bellucci46c1,410$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.71,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Mattia Bellucci18c1,120$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Mattia Bellucci46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7978540.6%319 W · 466 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Sebastian Baez80c940.2$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.0464455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sebastian Baez54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.931,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Sebastian Baez72c796.11$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.0695050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Sebastian Baez59c791.49$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5117044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Sebastian Baez59c783.84$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.2976355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Sebastian Baez52c761.54$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5436448.9%178 W · 186 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Baez64c755.09$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.085,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Sebastian Baez75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1754161%25 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Mattia Bellucci48c669.29$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.264,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mattia Bellucci48c667.98$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.198,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mattia Bellucci47c640.5$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.032,30451.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L+10.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Mattia Bellucci47c639.7$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.661,50537.7%568 W · 937 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Mattia Bellucci47c600$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.146,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Mattia Bellucci13c584.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7664240.2%258 W · 384 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Mattia Bellucci29c559.64$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2748541.2%200 W · 285 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Mattia Bellucci51c550.78$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8865942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Mattia Bellucci48c543$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.641,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa65…b0bbbacked Mattia Bellucci47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507739%30 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126f…739fbacked Sebastian Baez58c507.45$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.498250%41 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Sebastian Baez52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24015349.7%76 W · 77 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Mattia Bellucci46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sebastian Baez74c458.31$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.311,65744.2%733 W · 924 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Mattia Bellucci48c445.27$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5448847.1%230 W · 258 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Mattia Bellucci46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20096541.5%400 W · 565 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Mattia Bellucci47c430$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.118156.9%103 W · 78 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed Sebastian Baez57c408.69$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6944056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Sebastian Baez50c396.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.412,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398f…30f2backed Sebastian Baez74c332.31$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8616641%68 W · 98 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6e…5848backed Sebastian Baez63c326.55$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.582860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Sebastian Baez52c320.42$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.820756%116 W · 91 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Mattia Bellucci50c313.72$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8611047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f4…6794backed Sebastian Baez50c313.72$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8635153.8%189 W · 162 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Mattia Bellucci48c293.3$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.782,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Mattia Bellucci35c293.22$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6371725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…e183backed Mattia Bellucci48c291.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedde…5db2backed Mattia Bellucci28c285.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Mattia Bellucci47c265.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12590454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa871…3932backed Mattia Bellucci17c264.55$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mattia Bellucci34c261.34$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.722,69647.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L+46.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Sebastian Baez51c260$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.626345.6%120 W · 143 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Mattia Bellucci43c220.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.451,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Mattia Bellucci17c216.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8323940.6%97 W · 142 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Mattia Bellucci46c216.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6644151.9%229 W · 212 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Mattia Bellucci46c209.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.911,06652.4%559 W · 507 L+30.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6206…00eebacked Mattia Bellucci48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Mattia Bellucci48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013948.2%67 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked Mattia Bellucci48c204.08$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.964045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Sebastian Baez57c202.6$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.624858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Mattia Bellucci46c194.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6936937.9%140 W · 229 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Mattia Bellucci20c188.76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.112125.6%31 W · 90 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…fab5backed Mattia Bellucci42c185.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Mattia Bellucci47c180.65$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.915149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Sebastian Baez54c180.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8824846.4%115 W · 133 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Mattia Bellucci28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053044.9%238 W · 292 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Mattia Bellucci48c175.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9228848.3%139 W · 149 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mattia Bellucci39c171.23$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.789,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Sebastian Baez57c164.78$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.642,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.