MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4be9801a77a99073a097a77c9c573ed3a804fab0e7906c47106cc217a52f9624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 57c | 3,510$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.3 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 75c | 3,497$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.84 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…401fbacked Under | 17c | 2,353$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 43c | 2,240$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.02 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under | 52c | 2,131$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.41 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,790$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.36 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 5c | 1,382$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Under | 2c | 1,324$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 1,324$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.6 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 36c | 1,182$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…b35cbacked Under | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Under | 37c | 1,152$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.24 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 57c | 1,104$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,099$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…8277backed Under | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 802.87$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.26 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 28c | 712.69$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 44c | 708.25$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.63 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 56c | 608.4$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.7 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 37c | 558.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.57 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 543.56$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Under | 44c | 528.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.34 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf775…bd87backed Under | 17c | 434.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 56c | 425.57$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 61c | 419.62$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Under | 43c | 350.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 45c | 346.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 45c | 346.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 53c | 337.12$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Under | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Over | 58c | 304.34$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 38c | 272.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 42c | 261.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 57c | 231.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 224.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 47c | 188.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.14 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 8c | 184.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 72c | 172$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 42c | 166.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 57c | 161.62$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 156$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 8c | 153.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 43c | 143$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 61c | 131.83$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 8c | 124.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 40c | 118.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 57c | 88.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 57c | 70.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 59c | 70.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 39c | 65.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 37c | 64.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 61c | 60.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 41c | 59.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 41c | 59.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Over | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…69ddbacked Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 22c | 47.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 44c | 47.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 34c | 47.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Over | 57c | 38.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 63c | 37.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…5884backed Under | 43c | 36.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 45c | 34.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…0720backed Over | 41c | 33.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…4e4fbacked Under | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Over | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 47c | 30.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 60c | 30.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 43c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…7933backed Over | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 56c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 49c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.