MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e2ff3a264b91306a218ef530cfb56d66005ad9b59969ecbdc68bf2ab99faa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 55c | 129,971$71,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,776.42 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 28,160$12,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,672 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 45c | 13,501$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,075.37 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 45c | 13,488$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.66 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 46c | 10,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 7,853$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.13 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 45c | 6,200$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 5,462$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 4,573$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 4,317$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 4,303$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.11 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 3,264$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.79 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 3,249$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.19 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 56c | 3,220$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.65 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 47c | 3,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 45c | 2,646$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.83 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 45c | 2,646$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.83 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Over | 45c | 2,646$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.82 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 2,087$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 2,008$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.63 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under | 77c | 1,239$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.39 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 45c | 1,077$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.78 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 1,066$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 45c | 975$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.65 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Under | 52c | 957.69$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Under | 40c | 802.14$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.89 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 789.77$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 744.99$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.73 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 739.27$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.68 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 649$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 45c | 645.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 45c | 645.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 67c | 644.7$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 46c | 632$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.72 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 71c | 615.21$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Over | 47c | 443.34$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 52c | 416.86$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.61 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 56c | 398.46$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 41c | 341.74$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 37c | 321.07$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 32c | 303.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 45c | 273.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 55c | 244.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 235.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 17c | 199.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 45c | 156.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 64c | 153.47$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 26c | 151.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 45c | 109.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4e…d6e9backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 31c | 99.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 38c | 99.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 45c | 91.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 85.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 83.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 52c | 78.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 75.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 57c | 69.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 64c | 65.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 45c | 61.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over | 45c | 59.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 57c | 52.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 59c | 44.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 39c | 42.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 26c | 41.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 53c | 41.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 39.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 45c | 36.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 55c | 36.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 45c | 34.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 76c | 33.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 32c | 32.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.