MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee479a3b0461f1500fe0cff9c1448e1bcc92761c3a67761b7e27a6dc351e148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Washington Nationals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $407,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 95,291$25,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,126.82 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 52,859$38,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,266.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcd…811bbacked Washington Nationals | 80c | 40,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 67cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 31,843$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,474.32 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 42c | 16,664$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 11c | 15,776$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.91 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 13,467$5,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,521.44 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 11,600$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.29 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 9,832$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895.1 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 9,203$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.72 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 9,048$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 6,383$3,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Washington Nationals | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 4,718$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.41 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,545$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.45 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,399$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.49 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 4,169$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.06 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…3668backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 3,876$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,230$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.02 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 3,213$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 3,020$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 77c | 2,925$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 2,708$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.48 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 2,429$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,422$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 2,222$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.15 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,985$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.91 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,928$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.54 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,726$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.59 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 67c | 1,624$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 1,621$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,565$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.99 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,565$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.96 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,528$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.78 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.14 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,458$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.62 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,450$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,381$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.35 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,369$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.63 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…5f5dbacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 1,294$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.01 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 1,291$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.83 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,139$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.4 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Washington Nationals | 40c | 1,106$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.4 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,049$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.49 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 39c | 1,010$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.71 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 983.57$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.84 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 978.3$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 914.63$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 912.03$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.93 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 909.13$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.56 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 879.99$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.8 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 835$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.7 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 73c | 800$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 759.2$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Washington Nationals | 68c | 753.19$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Philadelphia Phillies | 18c | 738.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.81 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 737.18$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 689.59$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 675.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 657.46$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 646.68$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 630$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 627.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.55 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 592.17$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.53 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 585$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fd…a401backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 574$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.34 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 564.97$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.64 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Washington Nationals | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 497.72$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.48 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 495.08$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.01 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…c178backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 485.13$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Washington Nationals | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 457.24$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.07 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 430.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.02 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Washington Nationals | 17c | 425.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 423.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.61 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 420$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Washington Nationals | 41c | 390.46$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 389.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Washington Nationals | 41c | 361.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Washington Nationals | 40c | 358.44$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.