MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a2c7fb272ed5d001198dd17e771b73636170cd81ba54350f0834dd8ecfbc9d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $614,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $620,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 247,448$108,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,652.57 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 152,072$85,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,160.48 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.78 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 27,682$12,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,948.45 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 23,896$16,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,825.78 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 23,000$12,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,650 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Houston Astros | 57c | 17,261$9,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,838.8 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 17,241$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 17,072$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,822.27 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 27c | 16,906$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 23c | 15,253$3,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Houston Astros | 57c | 13,987$7,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,972.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 56c | 12,498$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 46c | 12,269$5,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,641.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Houston Astros | 54c | 11,183$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,038.64 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 54c | 10,431$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.45 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Houston Astros | 56c | 9,277$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.16 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 53c | 8,831$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.89 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 8,383$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.63 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Houston Astros | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Houston Astros | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 4,736$2,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.77 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Houston Astros | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked Houston Astros | 19c | 4,211$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,861$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.86 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 23c | 3,478$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.22 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.15 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Houston Astros | 57c | 3,300$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 22c | 3,004$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 39c | 2,892$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.9 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 2,679$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.51 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 21c | 2,314$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,145$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.62 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Houston Astros | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…217abacked Houston Astros | 15c | 1,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.33per pick | 22cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,864$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 1,772$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,660$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.47 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.43 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 56c | 1,626$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.54 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 1,604$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.63 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Houston Astros | 8c | 1,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…cc95backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 1,298$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 1,169$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 1,150$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.75 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Houston Astros | 16c | 1,067$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Houston Astros | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Houston Astros | 63c | 999.97$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 27c | 954.39$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.06 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 950$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.5 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 941.96$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.75 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 926.77$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.67 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Houston Astros | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Houston Astros | 32c | 908.13$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 770.22$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.24 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Houston Astros | 14c | 729.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 667.62$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Houston Astros | 18c | 666.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Houston Astros | 55c | 660$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Houston Astros | 47c | 633.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 600.87$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 600.79$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.43 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Houston Astros | 43c | 585.54$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…37d1backed Houston Astros | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 550$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.5 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 540$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Houston Astros | 14c | 539.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 534.31$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.78 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Houston Astros | 24c | 522.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 503.31$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Houston Astros | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Houston Astros | 54c | 465.5$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.37 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…0322backed Houston Astros | 55c | 446.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Houston Astros | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Houston Astros | 55c | 435.71$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.64 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 412$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.44 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Houston Astros | 57c | 400.01$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Houston Astros | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Houston Astros | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Houston Astros | 14c | 392.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 377.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Houston Astros | 9c | 377.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Houston Astros | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…cdd1backed Houston Astros | 55c | 357.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Houston Astros | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Houston Astros | 30c | 348.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Houston Astros | 15c | 344.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.