MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f76cc100a6c2403bcf7033e77a0700222a19ed13461fae7a696f2c6f10f9709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 47c | 287,377$136,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136,178.11 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 53c | 210,487$110,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,922.46 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 53c | 24,124$12,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,338.28 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 16,233$8,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,648.47 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 63c | 13,502$8,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 25c | 7,171$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 5,583$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.05 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 3,791$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.77 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 53c | 2,975$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.25 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 2,223$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.98 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.95 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 62c | 1,648$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.52 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 1,634$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.88 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 1,614$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Under | 55c | 1,457$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.65 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Under | 55c | 1,457$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.01 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 53c | 1,226$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.19 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 900$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 72c | 759$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Under | 53c | 499.99$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 53c | 482.48$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.77 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 52c | 480.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.76 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Under | 55c | 411$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.95 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 403.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 53c | 390$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 365.98$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.21 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 344.74$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Over | 45c | 273.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 26c | 271.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 263$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 46c | 245.85$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 54c | 221.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 58c | 200.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 39c | 200.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 52c | 171$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 24c | 170.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 54c | 166.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 80c | 164$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 47c | 153.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 48c | 142.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Under | 53c | 141.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 129.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Over | 28c | 129.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 45c | 109.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 55c | 108.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 46c | 106.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 46c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Under | 53c | 95.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 53c | 94.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…48b9backed Over | 48c | 90.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 48c | 85.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 81.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 52c | 64.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 52c | 62.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 26c | 62.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 53c | 52.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 53c | 49.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 26c | 44.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 53c | 41.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 53c | 37.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 63c | 32.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Under | 62c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d4…7b65backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 49c | 28.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Over | 46c | 27.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…1e58backed Under | 53c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Under | 52c | 23.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…cf1bbacked Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 53c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston AstrosToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.