MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0228b93fb01788db845e5868100a3ebd773aeb33f0f65e0926f9e15cc015ac96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 125,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 29,281$15,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,420.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 20,875$10,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,855.22 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 14,978$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.56 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 8,442$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 8,375$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.25 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 8,318$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.66 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 6,600$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Detroit Tigers | 78c | 4,780$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.79 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 4,627$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.38 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 4,438$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 3,441$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 3,212$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 2,741$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.72 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked Seattle Mariners | 19c | 2,337$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.16 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 2,066$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.64 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,700$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.11 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,159$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,053$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.55 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 999$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.48 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 923$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.96 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 740.34$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 728.39$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.05 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 674.48$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 594.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 545$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 540.43$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.23 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 501$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 11c | 455.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 447.59$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 420.54$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c6…b25bbacked Seattle Mariners | 4c | 408.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 386.08$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Seattle Mariners | 4c | 350.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 325$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 316.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed Seattle Mariners | 15c | 305.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 305$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 284.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 280.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 274$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…cd5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.83 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 263.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 254$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…9f1fbacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 240.61$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 218.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 216.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.83 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 204.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 204.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 203.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Detroit Tigers | 70c | 200.7$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Seattle Mariners | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 195$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 192.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 189.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Seattle Mariners | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 184.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 169.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 138.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…c8ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 123.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 113.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 112.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Detroit Tigers | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 109$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Detroit Tigers | 75c | 105.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 104.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.