MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb84d748259c817c0203121ab58eb6a420cb11bb01286483361ecaefe8dcddf23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 217,877$116,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,991.23 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 42,999$20,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,065.27 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 46c | 27,012$12,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,425.52 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Under | 47c | 23,617$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 20,229$9,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,415.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 18,827$8,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,714.14 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 46c | 16,000$7,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,360 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 13,006$6,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,061.75 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 11,426$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,256 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 47c | 10,400$4,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 54c | 4,973$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.8 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 48c | 4,624$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.99 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 2,043$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.21 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 1,867$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.89 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Under | 46c | 1,837$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.02 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 46c | 1,438$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.78 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 55c | 1,338$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.01 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 1,286$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.62 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,185$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 1,171$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.7 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 1,031$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.7 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 46c | 1,003$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.38 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 49c | 946.41$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 46c | 890.72$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.73 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 879.59$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.31 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 47c | 750.37$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.08 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 650$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.04 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 625.2$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.59 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 46c | 540.24$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.51 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 54c | 529.95$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.26 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 518.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 47c | 465.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 438$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.48 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 399.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 392.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 46c | 355$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.35 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 4c | 330.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 48c | 322.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.88 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 47c | 299.57$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…f324backed Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 287.25$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 276$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 244.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Under | 46c | 235.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…dbf6backed Under | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…2c5abacked Under | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 44c | 216.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Under | 47c | 172.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 164.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 152$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Under | 46c | 111.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 46c | 107.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 106.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 48c | 104.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 47c | 103.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 48c | 101.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 30c | 101.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 46c | 92.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 60c | 91.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Under | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Over | 48c | 69.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 65.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…4648backed Under | 47c | 61.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 24c | 55.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 71c | 53.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 48c | 53.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Under | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 48.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 48c | 47.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Under | 47c | 42.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 41.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Over | 51c | 41.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.