TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3711…2775

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.33
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
ITF Tauste: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Aryan Shahbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.91
National Bank Open: Talia Gibson vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.19
Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.47
ITF Roehampton: Emile Hudd vs Hugo Coquelinbacked Emile Hudd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$3.71
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+222.2%+$126.42
Istanbul 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Yanki Erelbacked Gijs Brouwer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$219.64
Hagen: Jerome Kym vs Max Houkesbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$19.73
Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yanevabacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.32
ITF Curtea de Arges: Stefan Ilie Bogdan Petre vs Fermin Tentibacked Fermin Tenti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.82
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+192%+$88.5
Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.6
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.