Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb1d7ebd789712beedf2db9f5e875d852d668175294a9b6ea5429859baa5d584
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 30c | 4,251$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.23 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 4,205$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.8 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,502$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 424.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 61c | 423.1$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 323.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 299.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 71c | 180.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 33c | 176.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 170.25$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 57c | 157.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 69c | 142.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 68c | 124.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 17c | 99.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 65c | 96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…c28bbacked Yes | 28c | 89.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 71c | 86.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 77.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 75.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 69.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 68c | 62.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 72c | 53.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 53c | 46.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 71c | 45.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed Yes | 45c | 43.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 42.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 65c | 31.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 77c | 29.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 65c | 21.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 68c | 18.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed No | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 77c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: FK Jablonec O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-2.5)FK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.