Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f31c805ff5bcff2db989daef0f865ccf0fdbf3771a08ef4fedf3cd0168fcb03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FK Jablonecof FK Jablonec, FK Rīgas Futbola Skola
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed FK Jablonec | 28c | 3,558$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 71c | 1,041$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.96 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 54c | 716.99$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Jablonec | 30c | 545.83$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.45 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 71c | 500.67$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.41 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 73c | 350.27$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 72c | 229.24$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.42 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 70c | 180.42$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FK Jablonec | 27c | 125.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FK Jablonec | 28c | 112.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 73c | 81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked FK Jablonec | 37c | 73.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 73c | 70.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 59c | 64.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 69c | 57.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 56c | 39.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 63c | 36.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 61c | 32.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 73c | 27.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 69c | 27.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 48c | 26.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 54c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 59c | 21.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 70c | 20.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed FK Jablonec | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked FK Rīgas Futbola Skola | 64c | 18.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)this page
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: FK Jablonec O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-2.5)FK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.