Europa Conference League · resolved market
FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc7f53a88105a7cfa16b1f76db2b30755cb9984905aaec32b3854e376e25fe39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 3,043$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.91 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,534$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.34 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 57c | 1,274$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.82 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 11c | 1,037$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 43c | 767.54$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.04 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 766.84$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.81 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 57c | 586.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.4 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 486.42$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.85 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 46c | 463.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.07 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 441.13$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…9343backed Over | 46c | 436.79$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 58c | 336.47$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 327.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.33 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 44c | 299.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 250.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 41c | 158.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 157.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 108.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 44c | 100.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 60c | 93.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 43c | 90.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed Under | 47c | 85.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 84.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 83.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 83.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 63.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 37c | 40.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 61c | 37.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 56c | 36.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 47c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 60c | 26.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 42c | 24.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 63c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Under | 57c | 22.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 2.5this page
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: FK Jablonec O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 3.5Under won
- FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
- Spread: FK Jablonec (-2.5)FK Rīgas Futbola Skola won
- Spread: FK Rīgas Futbola Skola (-1.5)FK Jablonec won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.