Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa89f2f6fac605b92fbe0a45a8a1b3267b4084a1e55770e0f9a8fc90512d0ba94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 46c | 76,275$35,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,381.67 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 56c | 18,182$10,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,079.85 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 54c | 15,460$8,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,111.6 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 9,114$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,236.15 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 53c | 7,703$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.41 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 5,846$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.39 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 5,052$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.87 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 2,883$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.16 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,343$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.14 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 2,082$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.42 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,906$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.31 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 44c | 1,589$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 1,427$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.64 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 1,388$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.48 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 1,388$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.03 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 1,347$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.84 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 53c | 1,319$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.69 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 53c | 1,159$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.92 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 53c | 1,109$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.19 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 967.9$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.16 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 43c | 932.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 43c | 919.71$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.48 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 58c | 663.62$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.59 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 54c | 443.48$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 55c | 385.43$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 45c | 336$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…f000backed No | 58c | 327.59$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…c28bbacked Yes | 8c | 277.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 59c | 178.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.34 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 138.55$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 45c | 131.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 57c | 115.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Yes | 46c | 109.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…56f0backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Yes | 29c | 97.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 43c | 90.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 41c | 90.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 54c | 86.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 42c | 84.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 53c | 78.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 69c | 76.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 36c | 69.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed Yes | 45c | 63.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed No | 71c | 59.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 69c | 58.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 42c | 54.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 53c | 52.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 65c | 52.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 71c | 49.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 47c | 45.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 61c | 40.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 39c | 35.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 56c | 34.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…7d46backed Yes | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed No | 58c | 33.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked No | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 56c | 32.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 61c | 30.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…17e7backed Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 59c | 23.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…b0c4backed No | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 80c | 18.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…8525backed No | 59c | 16.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.