Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1102af2d4e3dd81e2418c8691ac6ed568744fcd42b48370ad85cf5f9bc5ab464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 59c | 5,693$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.49 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,844$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.15 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 55c | 1,763$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.66 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 809.44$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.46 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 27c | 545.52$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.23 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 41c | 295.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 264.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 35c | 106.26$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 34c | 103.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 41c | 99.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 38c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 33c | 68.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 26c | 62.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 57.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 52c | 51.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 32c | 44.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 31c | 43.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 31c | 42.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…8580backed No | 66c | 37.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…e80bbacked No | 71c | 26.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 61c | 24.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 63c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 18.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-08-06?No won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.