Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ebf327f8a07077489eaac7af611f0521e5b78ee1da678e6224b8ff15fc7c65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 22c | 20,000$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.41 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 6,296$4,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.5 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 2,672$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.21 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 71c | 1,377$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.35 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,360$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 992.6$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.01 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 939.54$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.47 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 35c | 735.72$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.85 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 20c | 468.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 76c | 286.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 228.69$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.5 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 75c | 184.19$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 171.52$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 53c | 133.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 75c | 132.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 37c | 113.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 71c | 112.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 26c | 110.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 58c | 104$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 102.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 70c | 99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed Yes | 21c | 95.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 75c | 87.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 87.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 48c | 84.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 78c | 79.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 52c | 77.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 43c | 75.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 79c | 68.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 79c | 68.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 65.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…c28bbacked No | 36c | 64.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +144.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 37c | 57.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 71c | 47.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 28c | 45.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 79c | 44.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 65c | 39.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 66c | 39.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 58c | 38.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 35c | 38.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 30.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 73c | 30.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 26.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 68c | 25.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…338abacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 65c | 24.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 24.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 79c | 21.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 72c | 19.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 62c | 19.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 80c | 18.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 72c | 14.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed No | 80c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Helsingin JK win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.