TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c8,800$3,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,145.483,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c6,045$2,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,031.982,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c3,857$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.911,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over28c3,529$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.611226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under57c2,637$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.051764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over1c2,040$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under57c1,392$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.682,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c993.24$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.1196947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under73c959.15$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9710249%50 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Over64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under50c750.37$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.672,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over40c747.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c715.27$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.272,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under30c674.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.222944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Under78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.039100%9 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under58c597.74$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over57c499.98$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.994353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under72c498.15$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.481,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under42c451.18$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.4858061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under41c444.09$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5985260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under47c421.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.214360.5%26 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over50c403.45$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over54c370.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.952420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Over44c357.13$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.462528%7 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under42c334.83$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1631856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef8a…7035backed Over80c304.04$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick76cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over51c300.21$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.29257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0565…14d9backed Over70c275.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under33c232$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.4437446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under39c228.13$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.419163.4%121 W · 70 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under72c223.02$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4513450%67 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over67c219.76$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.244459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under57c217.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1329470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf88…fcb0backed Over34c214$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over27c196.19$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.978333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under30c129.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8939357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Under49c127.89$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.593956.4%22 W · 17 L+10.1wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+330.1%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under50c120.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0914931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c109.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8337750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dea…774cbacked Under73c106.05$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.481315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-71.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253865.8%25 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d9…764abacked Over61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under25c88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8435146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over22c82.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.538316.9%14 W · 69 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under40c74.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.327580%60 W · 15 L+12.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over30c71.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5170239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under74c67.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4329959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over27c62.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under50c62.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.156969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Under32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Over71c62.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.163961.5%24 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under39c55.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7412254.1%66 W · 56 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over68c54.03$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.871,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over54c50.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6117855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1444156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under73c49.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2450154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d0d…9d1abacked Under44c45.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Under67c44.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.466657.6%38 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e9…4b73backed Under59c43.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.922334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3711…2775backed Under41c41.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.89825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over55c41.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.827554.9%151 W · 124 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424c…8580backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-61.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under42c33.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6310148.5%49 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under37c30.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.931877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.31per pick46cpaid+72.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over42c28.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124475%33 W · 11 L+9.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3c52…99e1backed Under73c27.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34278.6%33 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over54c26.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410627.4%29 W · 77 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe19d…4e0bbacked Over70c25.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under43c24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6453564.7%346 W · 189 L+29.1wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under62c21.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0fc…097ebacked Under73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.132955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over66c17.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5617958.1%104 W · 75 L+17.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x290a…0994backed Over67c17.63$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.811931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.