Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ab189a4dbd53dd14ac14273ac6b69d5b82fca30ec7c97d72b955737b892004
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 2,714$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 46c | 2,551$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 1,067$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.73 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 1,040$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.82 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 6c | 670.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 582.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 569.96$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.58 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Over | 49c | 534.55$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.62 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 11c | 380.02$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 73c | 331.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 31c | 330.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Under | 52c | 329.2$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 60c | 285.21$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 248.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 48c | 217.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 53c | 148.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 147.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 49c | 108.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…b26ebacked Under | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…0812backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 96.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 39c | 96.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 81.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 75.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…92d7backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 74.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 47c | 70.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 48c | 58.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…4678backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -6.7wins | -0.39per pick | 51cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 48c | 49.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 47c | 47.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Under | 53c | 38.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Over | 47c | 35.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…dc74backed Over | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 41c | 29.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Under | 53c | 20.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 54c | 20.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Team to AdvanceJagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.