Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x378d0491ab9bba241170a7a7fb40fd124c538bea48adccc0139849dff85e0431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 4,248$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.81 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 3,347$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.4 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 50c | 3,204$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 44c | 2,661$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 982.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 19c | 525$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 54c | 479.89$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.14 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 78c | 408.41$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 244.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 70c | 229.89$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 229.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 219.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 196.71$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 166.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Under | 67c | 149.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 52c | 147.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 54c | 141.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 54c | 141.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 54c | 141.7$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 105.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 50c | 76.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 50c | 50.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 46.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 65c | 44.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 45c | 39.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 47c | 37.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Over | 54c | 36.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 55c | 34.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 63c | 33.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…ab99backed Under | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 44c | 30.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 47c | 27.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…c7a2backed Over | 54c | 24.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 58c | 22.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Team to AdvanceJagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.