Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33edd8963f6e6e949f2102adbff1d5c3aa41873ed6afc97a1393750c64b205b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,133$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.58 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 694.39$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.12 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 431.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 426.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 56c | 318.02$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.06 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 55c | 261$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 219.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 44c | 198.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 44c | 168.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 44c | 142$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 124.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 55c | 110.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 46c | 106.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…b045backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 52.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 44c | 47.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 46c | 35.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…c6d3backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 46c | 22.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 56c | 20.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…c701backed Yes | 56c | 19.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Team to AdvanceJagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.